Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Strong capitalisation metrics
PNB Housing’s capitalisation metrics have improved supported by the rights issue of Rs 2493.8 crore in April 2023. Consequently, the company’s networth increased to Rs 14,974 crore as on March 31, 2024, from 11,014 crore as on March 31, 2023. Tier-I, and overall capital adequacy ratio (CAR) was 27.9%, and 29.3%, respectively, as on March 31, 2024 (22.4% and 24.4% as on March 31, 2023); leaving adequate headroom to support envisaged growth.
The leverage levels have also improved to 3.7 times as on March 31, 2024 (4.9 times as on March 31, 2023); substantially low from the peak levels of 9.6 times as on March 31, 2019. Gearing is expected to remain below 6.5 times on a steady state basis.
Established market position in the housing finance space
PNB Housing is the third largest housing finance company in India with AUM of Rs 71,243 crore as on March 31, 2024 (Rs 66,617 crore a year earlier). The company has regained growth momentum with disbursements of Rs 17,583 crore in fiscal 2024; highest since fiscal 2019.
The company’s AUM has begun to see growth only since the second quarter of fiscal 2023 driven by a growth in the retail book. Over the past couple of years, AUM for PNB Housing was declining due to the cautious call on the part of the management to reduce its legacy corporate book, which got impacted due to slowdown in the real estate sector in 2019 followed by pandemic in 2020.
PNB Housing is focusing on building a strong retail franchise; given this, share of retail in overall AUM increased to 97% (97% of loan assets) at Rs 69,191 crore as on March 31, 2024, from 79% (76% of loan assets) at Rs 66,668 crore as on March 31, 2019. As part of retail strategy, the management traditionally has been focusing on prime lending; in fiscal 2024 the company started extending affordable loans and starting fiscal 2025, it will also target emerging markets for growth. Retail will continue to expand at a steady pace and will comprise the majority of overall loan assets. Residual corporate book stands at Rs 2,052 crore as on March 31, 2024. Going forward, on corporate lending, the company intends to take only selective exposures on projects which are near completion and of relatively lower ticket size.
Brand-sharing benefits with PNB as a promoter
PNB Housing continues to benefit from branding support from its parent, PNB (28.1% ownership currently). CRISIL Ratings believes PNB will remain amongst the largest shareholders of PNB Housing in the near term and infusion of Rs 500 crore in the rights issue in April 2023 reinforces PNB’s commitment. CRISIL Ratings believes that PNB’s continued association as promoter along with shared brand name, benefits PNB Housing in a trust-sensitive environment for non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies (HFCs). CRISIL Ratings also notes that with the shareholding of PNB now falling under 30% post the rights issue, PNB Housing is paying a royalty which is the higher of 0.2% of revenue and 2% of profit after tax (PAT) subject to a minimum charge of Rs 14.97 crore and a maximum charge of Rs 30 crore per year.
The shared brand name has helped the company to maintain a well-diversified resource profile, wherein it has been able to raise funds at competitive rates. The shared brand name has also supported the company in deposit mobilisation, as the company has consistently raised fixed deposits and it now constitutes around 32% of overall on-book borrowings (excluding securitisation). Adding to the diversity in its resource profile (excluding securitisation), company has adequate proportion of bank loans constituting 40% of the total on-book borrowings, funding in the form of commercial papers is 6% and through debentures and subordinated debt is 10% as on March 31, 2024. Other funding sources include refinance from NHB (9%) and external commercial borrowings (ECBs; 3%).
Additionally, supported by the long-standing relationships of both PNB Housing and PNB with banks, insurance companies, provident funds, corporates and pension funds, multilateral agencies (IFC and JICA) and mutual funds. Nevertheless, PNB Housing is managed by an independent management team, comprising professionals with strong domain knowledge and extensive experience in the mortgage business.
Improving earning profile
PNB Housing’s profitability has improved with return on managed assets (ROMA) of 2% in fiscal 2024 from 1.4% in fiscal 2023 and 1.1% in fiscal 2022. This is driven by stable NIMs and lower credit costs.
The company has managed NIMs of 4% in fiscals 2024 and 2023 (3% in fiscal 2022) despite competitive pressure on yields and rising cost of funds. Credit costs fell to 0.2% in fiscal 2024 from 0.9% and 0.7% in fiscals 2023 and 2022, respectively, driven by lower incremental provisioning requirements due to lower slippages, recoveries/writeback of around Rs 100 crore and write offs in fiscal 2024.
However, the company is in expansion phase to grow into newer segments such as affordable housing and emerging market loans and therefore operating expenditure (opex) levels witnessed a slight uptick and was 0.9% and 0.8% for fiscals 2024 and 2023, respectively.
As management aims to focus on high yielding affordable and emerging market loans, it should support profitability.
Additionally, given that the company has an outstanding pool of over Rs 2,000 crore of written off accounts including retail and corporate, recoveries from these could also support profitability over the medium term. Nevertheless, the management’s ability to continue to contain credit costs and maintain healthy earnings profile, remains a key monitorable.
Weaknesses:
Improved asset quality; sustenance monitorable
The asset quality metrics of PNB Housing had deteriorated in the past amidst degrowth and higher incremental slippages, especially from the wholesale portfolio, with gross stage III assets rising to 8.3% (Rs 4705 crore) as on March 31, 2022. The asset quality metrics have improved since then with gross stage III assets declining to 1.5% (Rs 984 crore) as on March 31, 2024, from 3.8% (Rs 2270 crore) as on March 31, 2023. The drop in gross stage III assets is driven by a sharp reduction in incremental slippages, recoveries/resolutions and write-offs.
CRISIL Ratings notes that most of the stressed accounts in the wholesale portfolio have slipped to gross stage III in the past couple of years. However, PNB Housing has also managed recovery from some of these accounts via exits. This is also evident from the reduction in absolute wholesale gross stage III assets to 3.3% (Rs 68 crore) as on March 31, 2024, from 22.3% (Rs 846 crore) and 37.1% (Rs 2738 crore) as on March 31, 2023, and March 31, 2022, respectively.
On the retail side too, the asset quality has improved due to decreased slippages and write-offs. The company has gradually reduced its exposure to the self-employed non-professional segment within the LAP segment as the same was adversely impacted during pandemic, containing stress from new originations. The gross stage III assets have improved to 1.4% (Rs 916 crore) as on March 31, 2024, from 2.6% (Rs 1424 crore) as on March 31, 2023, and 3.9% (Rs 1,967 crore) as on March 31, 2022 On a two-year lagged basis, gross stage III assets for March 2024 in home loans was 1.5% and one year lagged for non-housing retail loans was 2.5%. The company has tightened its underwriting policies and practices, relooked at business strategies and geographical presence to contain the stress in asset quality. Self-employed share in LAP book has also reduced to 62% of LAP book as on March 31, 2024, as against 79% in March 2020.
Going forward, CRISIL Ratings expects the slippages from the wholesale portfolio to remain relatively controlled with low legacy corporate book outstanding and most of the stressed exposures already recognised as non-performing asset (NPA). Even in the retail portfolio, the early bucket delinquencies have been improving in both home loan and LAP segments, which indicate that asset quality will remain rangebound.
However, performance of wholesale book as well as newer segments such as affordable housing and emerging market loans will remain a key rating sensitivity factor.
Intense competition in the housing finance segment
PNB Housing is one of the top three housing finance players; however, the company continues to face intense competition from banks, which account for a dominant share of the housing finance market. CRISIL Ratings believes that PNB Housing will remain one of the leading HFCs and maintain its market share, but it may face price-based competition over time amid increased focus by banks on this segment. PNB Housing, with focused efforts to grow into affordable and emerging loans segment and selectively augment its corporate book, should support its ability to maintain market position.